Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Administrative and Waste Services Earnings Growth
Across Tennessee Counties
Real* Administrative and Waste Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Administrative and Waste Services
Earnings Growth
Tennessee:
2010-2022 = 6.01%
2022 = 12.71%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real administrative and waste services earnings growth across all of Tennessee's 95 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Tennessee Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real administrative and waste services earnings growth of Tennessee's 95 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Administrative and Waste Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Administrative and Waste Services
Earnings Growth
Tennessee:
2010-2022 = 6.01%
2022 = 12.71%
This figure displays the 95 counties of Tennessee as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real administrative and waste services earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 6.01%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 6.01% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (6.01%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 39 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 16 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 28 counties whose most recent (2022) real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (12.71%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 27 counties whose real administrative and waste services earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 95 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 6.01% over 2010-2022 and 12.71% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (6.01%) and near-term (12.71%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (6.01%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Tennessee average (12.71%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (6.01%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (12.71%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (6.01%) and near-term (12.71%).
   
 
Summary of Tennessee's 95 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(12.71%)
Above
(12.71%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(6.01%)
14
25
39
Below
(6.01%)
13
3
16
 
27
28
55
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Tennessee:
2010-2022 = 6.01%
2022 = 12.71%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Tennessee counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Tennessee's average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 6.01%) as well as near-term (2022 = 12.71%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Tennessee's 95 counties, 25 (26%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Tennessee:
2010-2022 = 6.01%
2022 = 12.71%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 14 Tennessee counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 6.01%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 12.71%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 14 (15%) of Tennessee's 95 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Tennessee:
2010-2022 = 6.01%
2022 = 12.71%
This figure shows the distribution of the 3 Tennessee counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 6.01%), while they outpaced Tennessee's average near-term (2022 = 12.71%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Tennessee's 95 counties, only 3% (3) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Tennessee:
2010-2022 = 6.01%
2022 = 12.71%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 13 Tennessee counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 6.01%) as well as near-term (2022 = 12.71%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
14% of Tennessee's counties, 13 of 95, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Tennessee
Real* Administrative and Waste Services Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
34
6.98
 
32
14.57
290,624
 
28
8.83
 
17
23.64
3,935,636
 
12
11.67
 
28
15.63
61,489
 
18
10.57
 
8
31.38
46,654
 
3
15.34
 
31
15.30
69,600
 
2
15.62
 
2
53.40
39,811
 
4
14.69
 
7
31.63
33,144
 
21
9.77
 
13
25.40
13,580
 
27
8.89
 
23
18.53
158,558
 
6
13.17
 
16
23.76
37,809
 
13
11.46
 
11
26.49
18,230
 
17
10.57
 
6
44.81
27,886
 
10
11.86
 
14
25.39
161,935
 
31
8.08
 
18
22.54
212,288
 
22
9.60
 
5
50.67
7,550
 
8
12.88
 
1
86.98
40,950
 
25
9.35
 
22
19.36
87,199
 
9
12.29
 
19
22.49
12,605
 
14
11.36
 
30
15.44
157,644
 
38
6.28
 
33
14.42
354,167
 
15
11.20
 
26
16.12
292,047
 
36
6.77
 
25
17.44
8,639
 
35
6.97
 
21
19.88
256,374
 
20
10.14
 
4
51.37
31,320
 
26
9.12
 
20
22.47
194,559
Slipping Counties
 
19
10.38
 
52
6.96
240,434
 
7
12.99
 
53
6.04
73,300
 
11
11.71
 
51
7.36
60,053
 
39
6.16
 
40
11.08
962,909
 
1
15.64
 
66
-9.74
40,139
 
37
6.70
 
54
5.77
12,469
 
29
8.29
 
60
1.71
33,345
 
33
7.03
 
47
8.57
33,879
 
32
7.42
 
62
0.15
3,920
 
16
11.07
 
61
0.18
59,417
 
30
8.13
 
50
7.70
225,044
 
24
9.41
 
44
9.31
33,419
 
5
13.93
 
48
8.42
39,164
 
23
9.41
 
57
3.44
1,394,669
Gaining Counties
 
40
5.83
 
34
14.07
62,708
 
41
5.82
 
24
17.56
24,810
 
49
4.01
 
15
25.07
31,956
Lagging Counties
 
45
4.08
 
65
-4.70
126,303
 
55
0.77
 
70
-26.85
11,794
 
48
4.02
 
55
5.38
44,948
 
53
1.36
 
41
10.55
8,329
 
51
3.44
 
58
2.58
5,208
 
44
4.23
 
38
12.14
1,212,472
 
54
1.26
 
49
8.41
60,832
 
50
3.45
 
39
11.29
9,186
 
47
4.06
 
36
12.27
31,934
 
43
4.86
 
46
8.61
110,633
 
46
4.08
 
37
12.21
211,202
 
42
5.79
 
59
2.08
537,872
 
52
2.70
 
56
4.52
3,123,622
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
67
-10.43
13,571
 
U
U
 
3
52.64
3,639
 
U
U
 
45
8.81
42,369
 
U
U
 
S
S
7,984
 
U
U
 
64
-2.73
3,808
 
U
U
 
29
15.45
9,971
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
9
30.55
37,046
 
U
U
 
27
15.93
12,916
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
12,193
 
U
U
 
S
S
3,540
 
U
U
 
63
-2.16
9,980
 
U
U
 
S
S
3,115
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
3,876
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
43
9.82
9,717
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
12
25.64
8,762
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
68
-18.45
1,640
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
35
13.10
13,330
 
U
U
 
42
10.03
4,849
 
U
U
 
69
-23.97
32,863
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
10
28.81
19,377
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
6.01
 
12.71
15,963,673
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5.80
 
11.97
691,776,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611400_LSGL
 
   
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